boring prediction: the bay area will remain the center of gravity of tech for the next decade. this will be true in spite of an ongoing heroic effort by state and local politicians to kill it.

Oct 12, 2022 · 8:56 PM UTC

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the AI boom is enough on its own for this to be true, but it seems true for many other categories too. the most impressive technical people seem to be moving here again, and the quality of conversations remains higher than anywhere else i've found.
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another prediction: the next few $1T companies that get started will be "in-person first".
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Replying to @sama
💯. Because of strong network effect. Imo this applies to whole California in general. Let's see how fast @BrookeJenkinsSF can get beautiful SF back on track. In fact, I'm already regulary meeting ppl that have just moved in/back to CA from FL, TX, AZ ...
All bitcoin talk aside. 💯 agree with @coryklippsten re southern California. People that moved out of California felt just like shitcoinery of 2017 out of bitcoin temporarily 🤣 .If you live here you can see where it's heading? 🚀
Replying to @sama
feels now true since the state has been getting serious about increasing housing supply
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Replying to @sama
Why aren't they all moving to Miami or Texas cities in spite of the "effort by state and local politicians to kill it" ? What is keeping the founders here and forcing the technical geniuses to return?
Replying to @sama
The analogy for Bay Area 2020s is NYC 1970s. Still the epicenter of Tech and Finance (respectively), young family-less people, and folks rich enough to "insulate, insulate, insulate"
Replying to @sama
the bay area will continue to pump out dystopian tech failures such as worldcoin
Replying to @sama
Huh?!? Who EXACTLY is trying to "kill it"?? @SteveCase & @revolution might disagree with you...
Replying to @sama @jess
Want to push back as there's an obvious diffusion post COVID and NYC, Seattle, Austin, Miami are running it up... But honestly the mindset is just way diff. There's an appetite for risk and collusion to achieve the impossible that isn't quite elsewhere, *yet*
Replying to @sama
As well as efforts for people to try and shift it to Miami (lol no)
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Replying to @sama
SFBA will remain the center but it will lose monopoly status. It used to be the only place. Now it’s just the best place.
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