boring prediction: the bay area will remain the center of gravity of tech for the next decade. this will be true in spite of an ongoing heroic effort by state and local politicians to kill it.

Oct 12, 2022 · 8:56 PM UTC

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the AI boom is enough on its own for this to be true, but it seems true for many other categories too. the most impressive technical people seem to be moving here again, and the quality of conversations remains higher than anywhere else i've found.
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another prediction: the next few $1T companies that get started will be "in-person first".
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Replying to @sama @michelletandler
Will the Bay area be the global center of software tech over the next decade? It has many obvious advantages, but the competition for talent must be pretty severe in the US.
Replying to @sama
I am throwing Tallinn, Estonia in the ring! Accelerating their unicorn breading rate like crazy!
Replying to @sama
Inertia is a powerful thing
Replying to @sama
And the insatiable desire for some to live in flamingo shirts and shorts and boat shoes year round
Replying to @sama
I’d argue that NIMBYism from local landowners is doing more to kill it than anything else
Replying to @sama @tszzl
can hear the ghostwriter's voice in this one
Replying to @sama
Emphasis on Bay Area. Maybe chill on SF for the good of the city
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Replying to @sama
> this will be true in spite of an ongoing heroic effort by state and local politicians to kill it. If populists (progressives in SF but trumpies in other states) didn't hold the rest of the country hostage, the economic and technological progress would be unfathomable.
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Replying to @sama
I think state politicians just passed a bunch of laws that are massively increasing housing. That's going to have a lot to do with whether another generation of innovators will be able to move to SF over the next 2 decades.
Replying to @sama
curious to hear what @balajis and @rabois think on this
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