boring prediction: the bay area will remain the center of gravity of tech for the next decade. this will be true in spite of an ongoing heroic effort by state and local politicians to kill it.

Oct 12, 2022 · 8:56 PM UTC

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the AI boom is enough on its own for this to be true, but it seems true for many other categories too. the most impressive technical people seem to be moving here again, and the quality of conversations remains higher than anywhere else i've found.
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another prediction: the next few $1T companies that get started will be "in-person first".
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Replying to @sama
Mostly concur. Unless ur building hard tech at scale, like in some climate tech applications. Think you’ll continue to see some of these folks set up elsewhere, where space is cheaper and Eng. talent also exists.
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Replying to @sama
what about the thousands homeless, the house prices and the spread degrade?
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Replying to @sama
Curious! Why do you believe in this prediction? Homeless people ⬆️ Petty theft ⬆️ Wild Fire Damage ⬆️ Older population ⬆️
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Replying to @sama
Waiting for the roon like
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Replying to @sama
How will it overcome the average tech worker’s desire to work from home?
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Replying to @sama
Having had success co-running startups in Europe I always knew this to be true. Now I feel it as I've been to the US most months this year. What are the commuter town options with good food/coffee/bars and fitness? Any neighbouring states to live but work SF in the week?
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Replying to @sama
Regardless if it remains the most dominant area for tech it will likely remain the most culturally influential area in the industry
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Replying to @sama
wednesdays are for waging turf wars—rabois incoming
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