boring prediction: the bay area will remain the center of gravity of tech for the next decade. this will be true in spite of an ongoing heroic effort by state and local politicians to kill it.

Oct 12, 2022 · 8:56 PM UTC

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the AI boom is enough on its own for this to be true, but it seems true for many other categories too. the most impressive technical people seem to be moving here again, and the quality of conversations remains higher than anywhere else i've found.
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another prediction: the next few $1T companies that get started will be "in-person first".
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Replying to @sama
I don’t think so, there are a lot of founders who you would never see coz they will be able to start their companies from anywhere with much less capital and not have to be at the mercy of SV VC sharks. A lot of founders unwillingly moved here before at the insistence of VCs
Replying to @sama
seems plausible. decide isn’t long. Bay Area peak is in tho. at least I hope so. hella boring there
Replying to @sama
Just went back into office this week after a long time for a quarterly brainstorming week and I couldn’t agree more. I thought Bay Area’s dominance is done after the pandemic. But I was wrong. Looks like Bay Area’s tech scene is not only going to stay but dominate.
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Replying to @sama
It's certainly a center of gravity for money, but what substantive work is going on there?
Replying to @sama
How does water play into this? With increased drought and climate change, isn’t there increased risk for even higher COL, potentially driving entrepreneurs to startup elsewhere?
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Replying to @sama
Stanford and Cal aren’t going anywhere neither is tech…
Replying to @sama
True - I love Miami but without a school like Stanford pumping out constant tech talent, the Valley will remain the top dog
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Replying to @sama
Toronto was probably set to be AI capital last decade, but tech money moved all of the important researchers over...
Replying to @sama
Open alternative branches for Y combinator in more politically healthy places, wouldn't that be a good thing for the US? Nevada, Florida, etc
Replying to @sama
Cannot agree more, I work for an autonomous car company in SV and the quality of conversation among peers is incredibly high.
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