What are we currently missing but is going to seem obvious in retrospect about the implications/significance of negative interest rates?

Jan 10, 2020 · 1:50 AM UTC

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Replying to @sama @MarcHochstein
That we failed to make massive public infrastructure investments
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Replying to @sama
Massive equities bubble. Overall currency devaluation against limited supply (non printable) items like gold / bitcoin.
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Replying to @sama
We are out to fix this. Alternative investment strategies allow people to unbank themselves from failed legacy systems.
Replying to @sama
Lending money to governments at negative interest rates is an implicit wealth tax. This should help social insurance plans stay solvent longer and permit more deficit financed spending with fewer cuts.
Replying to @sama
Japan has had negative real rates since the 1980s and NOTHING bad has come of it aside from high gov debt to GDP. It increased the savings rate!
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Replying to @sama
More risk capital at less cost accelerates change, Mal-investment works itself out within the time frame, hyper change Darwinism will lead to better solutions rising - Tesla-etc mankind will solve worlds biggest problems -climate change. Cost will be retail banks will not exist.
Replying to @sama
Neg. Int Rates are a self-re-enforcing paradigm. US Gov’t Debt will get there. Not all, but short/mid term rates will be negative before a future Administration makes radical change to Fiscal Policy
Replying to @sama
Sustained global equities rally. Hunt for yield is strong.
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Replying to @sama
Think people will have to work longer as there are no safe places to get real positive returns.
Replying to @sama
1. Fewer young people, more old people. Started in Japan. 2. There's more money spread between fewer young people. Easier to get investment for a business. 3. Negative might be irrational. Near zero might be realistic for people that want to safely preserve wealth.