What are we currently missing but is going to seem obvious in retrospect about the implications/significance of negative interest rates?

Jan 10, 2020 · 1:50 AM UTC

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Replying to @sama
More like, negative income tax 😉 #UBI
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Replying to @sama
@TimDuy @dandolfa @cullenroche any thoughts on the question 👆🏼?
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Replying to @sama
Negative rates at the sovereign level compress spreads and create incredibly low sub-sovereign rates (State, Provincial, etc. rates) where debt levels are much higher as a % of GDP already and where pension liabilities in the West primarily reside.
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Replying to @sama
That they're the single biggest accelerator of inequality
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Replying to @sama
It made it possible for many businesses to survive that would not have been viable in a normal interest environment.
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Replying to @sama
Keynisianism is wrong.
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Replying to @sama
If you're thinking about returns and risk, the appropriate measure is "real rates", not "nominal rates." The objective should be to provide real after-tax rates of return, not nominal. This is the increase in purchasing power or consumption capabilities.
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Replying to @sama
Traditional measures of inflation / economic activity obscured by the rise of digital banking and software/services allows us to reach significant inflation before the fed can respond
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Replying to @sama
I wonder if near zero rates are close to real market rates because we have entered a time when there is so much accumulated wealth that capital is no longer the scarce resource. Instead productive uses of capital are the scarce resources. Not sure tho.
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Replying to @sama
People rather accept negative returns on govies than running the risk of defaulting banks. People trust govs over banks when it comes to capital preservation. Bitcoin fixes this.
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