Engineer on @googlechrome. Involved in CSS and W3C standards. Previously @mozilla, @w3ctag. Mastodon: @dbaron@w3c.social
Rockville, Maryland, USA
Joined March 2008
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Now the 00:00 UTC (17:00 PDT) run is done.
Vertically integrated smoke forecasts a bit of relief from dark skies by Friday. Maybe 50% less smoke? Still bad. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
Near-surface smoke shows things getting a bit better Thursday evening. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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That said, I wouldn't expect models to do particularly well in edge cases that they weren't well tested on. But I still think they're likely better than nothing. (Where the standard "nothing" baseline is the best linear combination of climatology and persistence.)
And now the 18:00 UTC (11:00 PDT) run is mostly done.
Near-surface smoke rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… shows Bay Area getting worse tomorrow morning (smoke from Dolan Fire, Monterey County) before getting better.
Vertically integrated smoke still bad rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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Based particularly on nitter.vloup.ch/NWSBayArea/statu… I think what they were saying is that forecasts for things like temperature were not accounting for smoke... not that the smoke model itself (which is separate from other models) is broken.
The models do not seem to be keeping up with the thick layer of smoke as far as temperature forecast data, visibility, etc. We just have so much smoke over us right now. Yesterday the models were way off and we expect the same today (for afternoon temperatures).
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L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social retweeted
This is appalling. Pennsylvania Republicans refuse to let election officials open absentee ballots before Election Day—which experts agree will speed up counting—unless Democrats kill drop boxes and early voting. It’s not just partisan, it’s nihilistic. news.yahoo.com/former-republ…
In Pennsylvania, GOP is blocking giving clerks time ahead of election day to prepare mail ballots for counting.
GOP wants to:
-eliminate drop boxes
-eliminate early voting
-expand poll watcher eligibility (to increase challenges of Philly voters)
news.yahoo.com/former-republ…
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Worth repeating the link to sources (and to future runs):
In general, these HRRR smoke images can be found at:
rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the southwest US or rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the whole country. The 48 hour long runs are done only every 6 hours; other runs just extend 24 hours.
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I guess I should have been paying a little bit more attention to the vertically integrated smoke forecast and not just the near-surface smoke forecast.
rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… says the Bay Area is going to be stuck with dark orange skies for at least another 40 hours...
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L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social retweeted
I wrote an article on ventilation late summer and got inundated with messages from ordinary people saying "oh, wow, I had no idea. We're now opening windows in our <indoor space>. Thank you for informing us!" Seems that Woodward, not just Trump, had the confirmation in February.
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With a real camera, you can often/usually turn off the auto white-balance and set it to "sunlight" based white balance, which ought to help.
(That said, I took a few photos that way this morning but haven't gotten them off the camera yet...)
L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social retweeted
NEWS w/ @PhilipRucker: In Woodward book, President Trump says he knew coronavirus was ‘deadly’ and worse than the flu while intentionally misleading Americans
washingtonpost.com/politics/…
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As usual, up-to-date runs for the southwest US available at rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… , and the 48-hour-long runs are every 6 hours.
The 12:00 UTC (05:00 PDT) HRRR Smoke suggests that by Wednesday evening, the winds will shift so that the Bay Area gets smoke from fires in Monterey County instead of from fires in Tehama and Glenn counties. Not the wind shift that I was hoping for. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social retweeted
I investigated what the global boom in SUV sales means for the climate, as well as how they are shaping our cities. The answers are striking theguardian.com/us-news/2020…
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L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social retweeted
Good news is that California Building Standards Commission approved early adoption of tall wood building types two weeks ago.
Builders can pull permits for a 18 story wood tower come July 2021.
lesprom.com/en/news/Californ…
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I think I understated the improvement that it's showing tomorrow, actually -- probably more like substantial improvement rather than slight, but still a good bit of smoke.
In general, these HRRR smoke images can be found at:
rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the southwest US or rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the whole country. The 48 hour long runs are done only every 6 hours; other runs just extend 24 hours.
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The 18:00 UTC (11:00 PDT) HRRR smoke model shows a smoky 48 hours for the Bay Area, although perhaps slight improvement may be coming. The bulk of the smoke looks like it's coming from the fires in Tehama and Glenn counties and other places to our north. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social retweeted
Here are the two sites that broke their all-time high temperature records today. 121° was the highest ever recorded at an official site in L.A. County. Ditto for Paso Robles 117° in San Luis Obispo County. Burbank tied all-time high of 114° from yesterday. #cawx #LAheat #Socal
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L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social retweeted
The 121° high temperature at Woodland Hills official site (Pierce College) was also the highest official temperature ever recorded in L.A. County as well as Ventura, Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties. Click the URL for more details #cawx #LAheat go.usa.gov/xGDwC
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