The @FiveThirtyEight forecast was not bad: p(T)>.5: 25T .5<p(C)<.6: 1C 2T .6<p(C)<.7: 1C .7<p(C)<.8: 1C 2T .8<p(C)<.9: 4C 1T p(C)>.9: 14C

Nov 9, 2016 · 9:13 AM UTC

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Note that above assumed NH and MN to Clinton and AZ and MI to Trump. NH now switched to few hundred votes on the Trump side.
Replying to @davidbaron @FiveThirtyEight
Much better than many that were criticizing it.