speaking purely as a layman, i'm incredulous hearing that clinton is ahead in polls by just 5% but predicted 100+ electoral vote win.
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If states were uniform, ahead by 5% would mean 538-0 win. So it's a function of how nonuniform the states are.
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Replying to @davidbaron @getify
Being 5% ahead is enough to swing R-leaning FL, NV, NC, and maybe OH, which is way more than 50 electoral votes moving R→D.

Oct 24, 2016 · 9:47 PM UTC