speaking purely as a layman, i'm incredulous hearing that clinton is ahead in polls by just 5% but predicted 100+ electoral vote win.
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Replying to @getifyX @getify
If states were uniform, ahead by 5% would mean 538-0 win. So it's a function of how nonuniform the states are.

Oct 24, 2016 · 9:43 PM UTC

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Replying to @davidbaron @getify
Being 5% ahead is enough to swing R-leaning FL, NV, NC, and maybe OH, which is way more than 50 electoral votes moving R→D.
Replying to @davidbaron
and that's what seems bonkers to me. 5% ahead shouldn't be considered a unanimous mandate.
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5% is a decent but not huge mandate. 10% is biggest since 1984. Presidents (e.g., Bush 44) used smaller mandates for huge change.