Depends on the voting system used to count the ranked choice votes, I think.
With STV it's fine to cast a protest vote for a third party that has no chance.
But once it's not clear who the final two are, strategic voting is important again.
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For example, I think it's likely that if 1.6% of the Alaska at-large voters had voted Begich-Palin rather than Palin-Begich, that Begich would be Representative-elect rather than Peltola.
(I don't know if there's public data to confirm this, though there would in San Francisco.)
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To analyze that final round you need data that's not in the existing transfer data, because you need to know how Palin's first choice votes would have transferred.
Sep 2, 2022 · 10:40 AM UTC
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