@geoffreyvs btw, when I worked out tipping point states (dbaron.org/presidential-elec…) I got Iowa for 2008 and Colorado for 2012.
(This is in reply to fivethirtyeight.com/live-blo… .)
Nov 6, 2020 · 3:00 AM UTC
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I just rechecked 2008 with the data from en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008_U… and got that it was an Iowa/Colorado tie.