I guess I should have been paying a little bit more attention to the vertically integrated smoke forecast and not just the near-surface smoke forecast. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… says the Bay Area is going to be stuck with dark orange skies for at least another 40 hours...
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Worth repeating the link to sources (and to future runs):
L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social @davidbaron
7 Sep 2020
Replying to @davidbaron
In general, these HRRR smoke images can be found at: rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the southwest US or rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the whole country. The 48 hour long runs are done only every 6 hours; other runs just extend 24 hours.
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And now the 18:00 UTC (11:00 PDT) run is mostly done. Near-surface smoke rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… shows Bay Area getting worse tomorrow morning (smoke from Dolan Fire, Monterey County) before getting better. Vertically integrated smoke still bad rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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Now the 00:00 UTC (17:00 PDT) run is done. Vertically integrated smoke forecasts a bit of relief from dark skies by Friday. Maybe 50% less smoke? Still bad. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… Near-surface smoke shows things getting a bit better Thursday evening. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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How offers are these maps refreshed? Thanks for posting!
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Replying to @KariCasaCruz
See nitter.vloup.ch/davidbaron/statu… . There are 48-hour runs every 6 hours, and 24-hour runs every hour.
L. David Baron @dbaron@w3c.social @davidbaron
7 Sep 2020
Replying to @davidbaron
In general, these HRRR smoke images can be found at: rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the southwest US or rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… for the whole country. The 48 hour long runs are done only every 6 hours; other runs just extend 24 hours.

Sep 10, 2020 · 4:28 PM UTC
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