My top reason to be optimistic about a @JoeBiden presidency: The last two Democratic presidents with comparable experience relevant to the presidency (e.g., senior positions in US congress or executive branch, or large state governor): Franklin D. Roosevelt Lyndon B. Johnson

May 14, 2020 · 10:09 PM UTC

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I don't think it's primarily statistical -- I think it's tied to the ideas that: * presidents normally lead big changes at the start of their presidency * presidents with less experience at big-time politics have stumbled at the start and not gotten what they want (e.g. Clinton)
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