Weighting on opportunity shifts growth away from poorer areas like Richmond & Vacaville, toward wealthier areas like Marin & Silicon Valley
Growth is highest (45%) in places like Palo Alto, Lamorinda, and South Marin
(Atherton is perhaps brough down by jobless billionaires?)
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Next up: the Divergence Index, which measures segregation by how much a city's racial composition diverges from the regional average
It's used by the Othering & Belonging Institute at UC Berkeley produce these maps of segregation: haasinstitute.berkeley.edu/sโฆ
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You can see that this one is kind of all over the place, with high growth in both exclusionary communities like South Marin & Cupertino, but also poor segregated communities like Richmond & Antioch
The highest growth targets, over 50%, go to Cupertino & San Pablo
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Next is a set of metrics based on jobs access
Jobs Proximity - Auto uses a 30 minute commute shed by car
Here's what that looks like: growth shifts away from the North Bay toward Silicon Valley & San Francisco
Growth is highest in SF (40%), Palo Alto & Mountain View (39%)
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There's also Jobs Proximity - Transit, based on a 45 minute transit commute to work
This option weights very heavily toward San Francisco (+55%), Oakland (+42%), and to a lesser extent other BART & Caltrain corridor cities
Walnut Creek BART doesn't really register on this one
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Staff also created a weighting based on employee VMT: it shifts housing growth to the areas where workers drive the longest distance to get to work
This means less housing growth in SF & more in unincorporated county areas (unincorporated San Mateo County leads the pack at +46%)
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Is it putting the housing in the places where the supercommuters live or the place where the supercommuters work?
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The "workers drive the longest distance" -- is that as a share of all workers, or a share of workers who drive? It seems to be adjusting to the places where it's not possible to get to work other than by driving...
Mar 19, 2020 ยท 12:31 AM UTC
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