Current GEFS model run (18:00 UTC run on October 31) has winds over the Bay Area returning to a more normal onshore wind pattern on Thursday the 7th. That would be an end to the pattern that both brings dry winds that help cause fires and spreads the smoke into the Bay Area.
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This is looking like less of a respite than I thought before -- even though the forecast is roughly still holding up -- because it looks like things should switch back to the N/NE wind pattern during Saturday, and thus bring us more smoke again.

Nov 6, 2019 · 4:09 PM UTC
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