Current GEFS model run (18:00 UTC run on October 31) has winds over the Bay Area returning to a more normal onshore wind pattern on Thursday the 7th. That would be an end to the pattern that both brings dry winds that help cause fires and spreads the smoke into the Bay Area.

Nov 1, 2019 · 4:43 AM UTC

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This is looking like less of a respite than I thought before -- even though the forecast is roughly still holding up -- because it looks like things should switch back to the N/NE wind pattern during Saturday, and thus bring us more smoke again.
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Replying to @davidbaron
Any rain on the horizon?
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Maybe a chance during the week of November 11th, but that forecast is pretty far out, and it doesn't look too substantial either...
Replying to @davidbaron
Didn't you get wildfires, let's say, 50 years ago? Why does it seem getting more intense nowadays?
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I don't know if it actually is more intense these days. California has had fires for a long time. Maybe it's poor power-line maintenance, maybe it's more people living in wildland areas, maybe a bit of the effects of global warming. Or maybe it's been like this for a while?