She's behind Leno by 4500 now (instead of 6500), but that's almost certainly not enough to leap frog her ahead in RCV.
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I think the margin is thin enough now that we have to wait for all the mail in ballots to trickle in.
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The RCV elimination order looks pretty stable... the closest elimination %-wise is the very last one. (If there were other close ones, that could throw things off in interesting ways... another downside of this counting method!)
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Sadly we're nowhere near close enough to the true chaos scenario: Kim surging to second and getting to see what all the Leno voters put after him.
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I tossed what I have up at github.com/dbaron/sf-electio… ... but I have some plans for what to do next.
(Right now the output is literally to console.log() because I haven't written anything else.)
Jun 6, 2018 · 4:09 PM UTC
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