If you assume these shake out the same as the initial RCV round then that's another ~5500 votes that eventually transfer to Leno, putting this at +15k Breed +17.5k Leno, and Breed's initial margin was 3000. So this is going down to the wire.
43000 more ballots are up on sf elections: 15k for Breed, 11k for Leno, 12k for Kim. Strong election day showing for Kim.
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If there's another 42% of e-day returns that look like this it's probably enough to put Leno over the top.
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Replying to @khuey_
There should also be a pretty substantial pile of vote-by-mail remaining too, though. Do you think those are likely to look more like the vote-by-mail received early, or like the election day voting?

Jun 6, 2018 · 5:46 AM UTC

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Replying to @davidbaron
I would assume the former but who knows.
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