Engineer on @googlechrome. Involved in CSS and W3C standards. Previously @mozilla, @w3ctag. Mastodon: @dbaron@w3c.social

Rockville, Maryland, USA
Joined March 2008
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I'll be attending @w3c TPAC next week virtually rather than going to Vancouver. I'm expecting I'll continue attending things virtually for a while, although I'm still hoping the bivalent COVID vaccine boosters will change the situation substantially. 4/4
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I realized this after discussions about different people's views of the COVID rules for meetings that I've been involved in. Thinking about the big difference between those two situations has made me much more pessimistic about in-person standards meetings & conferences. 3/4
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I'd trust many colleagues not to come to the office they go to every day if they have COVID symptoms or a positive test... but I've realized that I wouldn't trust many of the same people to do the same at a meeting they've flown across the continent/world to attend. 2/4
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As in-person web standards meetings have been starting again, one thing I've been thinking about is the level of trust around following COVID rules that we're placing in our colleagues. 1/4
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"Climate Best by Government Test", eh?
Six Bay Area & Central Coast climate sites set their all-time record maximum temperature this afternoon. Today's heat was anticipated to be the peak of the event with some slight cooling expected on Wednesday. However, the interior will remain hot through late week. #CAheat
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Replying to @AmeliasBrain
Simple "vote for any number" is called approval voting and I think it's substantially better than IRV or First Past the Post (FPTP).
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Every time I'm in Tokyo I'm again amazed by how their subway signage is reliably best in class. If Tokyo Metro has a line map above a stairway, you can be sure the left end of the map is the platform on the left, etc.
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I didn't know where Shady Grove or Glenmont were until I lived near one of them. Using destinations on branchy lines like some of the London tube lines seems particularly hostile to newcomers. On the other hand, maybe learn from Tokyo signage and don't focus on either.
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I'd prefer voting systems that really supported multiparty democracy, including things like mixed-member-proportional legislatures. But I probably lean against accepting the unpredictability of cross-party IRV (or, worse, California's way) over the current 2-party system. 6/6
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In this particular case, if a relatively small number of voters whose real preference was Palin-Begich-Peltola had instead strategically voted a Begich-Palin-Peltola ballot instead of a Palin-Begich-Peltola ballot, Begich probably would have won instead of Peltola. 5/6
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Instant Runoff Voting tends to produce results that are very dependent on how the candidates are distributed across the political spectrum, and also most strongly emphasizes the top end of voters' rank lists. (So does FPTP.) It's also pretty susceptible to strategic voting. 4/6
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As far as I could tell from looking at the Alaska elections website a few days ago, I don't think Alaska has made the full ranking data of the ballots available, so I can't verify this. 3/6
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While folks on the left may be happy about this particular result, I think it's worth being clear that Begich was very likely the Condorcet winner in this election. That is, Begich probably would have won both Begich-Palin and Begich-Peltola runoffs. 2/6
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Ranked Choice voting may have exciting possibilities... but I'm not so excited about the nearly-standard use of Instant Runoff Voting to count Ranked Choice ballots. Ranked Choice ballots can be counted in many ways. 1/6
1/ I continue to be really excited about the possibilities of Ranked Choice Voting, especially after the Alaska election.
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Replying to @alon_levy
Not only am I with you on preferring direction... but I wish every city built their subway exits like Sapporo and had a compass on the ground at the top of the stairs. (I think I've seen this in some other cities in East Asia, but I think it was most reliable in Sapporo.)
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And you can adjust them to be quarterly by adding Q to the end of the URL. (Also, mentioning that these are employment-population ratio for age 25-54, so I have a chance of finding this again.)
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Oh, and I found the one I was really looking for (you can adjust them to be 1948-2022): beta.bls.gov/dataViewer/view… (men, seasonally adjusted) beta.bls.gov/dataViewer/view… (women, seasonally adjusted) beta.bls.gov/dataViewer/view… (men, unadjusted) beta.bls.gov/dataViewer/view… (women, unadjusted)
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To analyze that final round you need data that's not in the existing transfer data, because you need to know how Palin's first choice votes would have transferred.
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The difference in 1st choice for Palin vs Begich was 3.1%, so shifting 1.6% of the voters would cause the needed 3.2% swing and (making some assumptions about write ins, since they didn't see a chart with write in transfers separate) make the final round Begich vs. Peltola.
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Replying to @davidbaron @plinss
For example, I think it's likely that if 1.6% of the Alaska at-large voters had voted Begich-Palin rather than Palin-Begich, that Begich would be Representative-elect rather than Peltola. (I don't know if there's public data to confirm this, though there would in San Francisco.)
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