Engineer on @googlechrome. Involved in CSS and W3C standards. Previously @mozilla, @w3ctag. Mastodon: @dbaron@w3c.social
Rockville, Maryland, USA
Joined March 2008
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OK, TD 22 didn't get Alpha either. We might get to Beta today.
If you were away for a couple of hours, you might have missed the two latest Atlantic storms. #Wilfred is no threat to land, while #Alpha is just offshore of Portugal. For more on Alpha's hazards see ipma.pt & the NHC advisories are at hurricanes.gov
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When I wrote that 12 hours ago I was expecting TD 22 to become Wilfred... but the tropical wave in the eastern tropical Atlantic beat it to that. So now there are decent odds we'll have TS Alpha today (as TD 22 strengthens).
Tropical Storm #Wilfred Advisory 1: Wilfred Forms in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic. Get Out the Greek Alphabet For the Rest of 2020. go.usa.gov/W3H
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Looks like winds from the north are likely to bring smoke from the #AugustComplexFire into the San Francisco Bay Area on Saturday.
Vertically integrated smoke: rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
Near-surface smoke: rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
At the rate things are going, we could get to Alpha by the end of this week, and I'd be surprised if we don't get to it by the end of the month.
(It seems likely we'll see Wilfred tomorrow.)
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Yeah, interesting thread. Worth getting companies with societal responsibilities to have the right incentives somehow.
The last two sentences of the screenshot in mobile.twitter.com/TubeTimeU… seem a bit too familiar...
San Francisco Bay area air quality looks pretty good right now.
However, I'd say leaving the windows open overnight looks like a pretty risky move.
Not a guaranteed disaster move, but pretty risky.
(Also maybe a bit less risky if you're up early in the morning.)
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The misrouted box arrived looking pretty pristine, not sure why it needed the barcode replacement (which was visible).
(Haven't opened it yet; things from IKEA get to be in COVID-19 quarantine for a bit before opening.)
Here's what the HRRR Smoke model thinks the smoke through the entire atmospheric column looks like at that time (this image comes from rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H… ).
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Should run some experiments on domestic Japanese shipping with Japan Post. I bet the 25G indicators are fine there...
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Good to know, given that the contents of the box are glass...
(I think it contains just a ikea.com/us/en/p/trygg-servi… ... which I've found make great fruit bowls and decided I wanted a second one given that I was ordering from IKEA.)
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Yeah, I do this too, at least when there's no need to reply further. (Including after an extended back-and-forth argument, when it's time to stop arguing.)
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Also see en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_A… and perhaps also en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_A…
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I think the vertically integrated smoke output has been closer to correct than the near-surface smoke output.
(I also give models credit for showing the correct pattern even if off by a bit geographically -- a problem the Bay Area will be quite sensitive to the next few days.)
4 4 4! That's pretty serious stuff. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NFPA_7…
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The 00:00 UTC (17:00 PDT) run has moved back a little bit on timing, but is still showing a pattern that seems likely to lead to improvements on Monday or Tuesday.
It's not clear that the near-surface smoke forecast has been that reliable lately, but it seems to show the possibility of more clearing at the surface a bit after that, assuming its trend continues rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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Today's 18:00 UTC (11:00 PDT) run shows some reasons for optimism.
The vertically integrated smoke forecast shows the western edge of the think smoke band moving east, and clearing over the bay area from west to east over Monday morning. rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/H…
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