Professor of Epidemiology @UNSW with an eye on infection at all times. Advisor to @WHO Health Emergencies IPC Preparedness, Readiness and Response to COVID-19
Our estimates for the effective reproduction number in Australian states. Good news is we have clear evidence that it is (well) under 1. Methodological details and further analyses to come. Thanks @dj_price10@freya_shearer and LSHTM. #COVID19Aus#StayHomeAustralia
Good to see @Covid19NSW targeting hotspots, to test the community, before considering loosening social restrictions. Targeted and wide spread testing flushes out mild cases for isolation and reduces spread. Please get your flu shot to reduce demand on our healthcare system.
We are starting to “flatten the curve” in Australia and health officials can soon flush out Covid-19 clusters. But expect a spike in cases, as reported n today’s @australian
We launched the #COVID19Experts database on Friday last week. Since then, we've had over 1000 registrations of researchers and experts around Australia offer their help to fight #COVID19au
If you have relevant expertise, register at science.org.au/covid19/exper…
How is “modelling” most usefully applied during a pandemic? It’s probably best used to consider “worst case scenarios” and then plan for numbers of ICU beds, Protective equipment needed (PPEs), burials etc. tinyurl.com/yxyxm6jd
Big outbreaks (e.g. SARS '03) don’t just stop dead. There’s a long tail, over many weeks, from cluster cases. To prevent resurgence keep borders closed & place mild cases away from households. #COVID2019AU
It’s good news. Big outbreaks (e.g. SARS '03) don’t just stop dead. There’s a long tail, over many weeks, from cluster cases. To prevent resurgence keep borders closed & place mild cases away from households. #COVID2019AU
Big outbreaks (e.g. SARS '03) don’t just stop dead. There’s a long tail, over many weeks, from cluster cases. To prevent resurgence keep borders closed & place mild cases away from households. #COVID2019AU
Big outbreaks (e.g. SARS '03) don’t just stop dead. There’s a long tail, over many weeks, from cluster cases. To prevent resurgence keep borders closed & place mild cases away from households.
Curve flattening ? Oz epi curve below shows decline daily cases. But like big outbreaks (SARS '03) dont just stop dead; have long tail over many weeks from few cases. To prevent resurgence keep border closed, place mild cases away from households.
Understand widespread PPE used in a wholly-designated COVID19 hospital as was the case during SARS 2003. But no masks used in wards outside flu ward; so why PPE in a nondesignated hospital unless you work on the COVID19 ward? However I understand their anxiety.
Understand widespread PPE used in a wholly-designated COVID19 hospital as was the case during SARS 2003. But no masks used in wards outside flu ward. so why PPE in a nondesignated hospital unless you work on the COVID19 ward. understand their anxiety