Horizontal axis shows 32 look-backs of cases in previous 14days (twice incub period). blue Aust red Vic. This simple look-back shows speed of outbreak & explains why best to act early to slow outbreak. Vic peak wont happen immediately. Thank you Melb ❤️ & everyone tested❤️
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Just trying to understand but isn’t blue - returned travellers, vs red - comm transmission with Vics current situation? Are the two really comparable 🤔
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I could have broken down to single transmission mode. Currently both graphs have return travellers and local transmission (% travellers similar for all Aust, in Vict & NSW), dates for two curves differ betw Aust & Vict but this was an exercise in visualising the speed
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