Horizontal axis shows 32 look-backs of cases in previous 14days (twice incub period). blue Aust red Vic. This simple look-back shows speed of outbreak & explains why best to act early to slow outbreak. Vic peak wont happen immediately. Thank you Melb ❤️ & everyone tested❤️
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Just trying to understand but isn’t blue - returned travellers, vs red - comm transmission with Vics current situation? Are the two really comparable 🤔
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Replying to @Dr_Carl
I could have broken down to single transmission mode. Currently both graphs have return travellers and local transmission (% travellers similar for all Aust, in Vict & NSW), dates for two curves differ betw Aust & Vict but this was an exercise in visualising the speed

Jul 10, 2020 · 7:28 AM UTC

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Replying to @MarylouiseMcla1
Thank u, I (& we all) appreciate your well balanced advice and information 🙏
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You’re welcome.