Professor of Epidemiology @UNSW with an eye on infection at all times. Advisor to @WHO Health Emergencies IPC Preparedness, Readiness and Response to COVID-19

Sydney, New South Wales
Joined December 2015
This is my 14 day rolling average. NSW is in the Amber zone (60-99 cases over 14 days. Too high and took 30 days to get out of RED (100+). Now Amber but climbed again. Still concerning
4
3
Replying to @UNSW
Tash keeping a close eye on the ‘mouse’ - she’s a great research assistant 😻
1
1
20
😁Decline in ’change in 14-day totals’ in Vic & NSW says 2nd wave coming under control. Congrats Victoria ❤️. 14-day total traffic light I use: 'green' open border (less than 59 cases), amber 'wear a mask' (60-99), Red hotspots 'ring fence or curfew' (100+)
30
106
13
408
Vic stubborn but slow recovery from effective multiple restrictions. Keep it up Vic ❤️ it will get better (slowly). NSW improving; but too early to relax 😷
10
71
8
309
20-34 year olds disproportionally represented in Vic COVID-19 cases. Vic curfew tough while aiming to protect them from COVID & possible long term ill health by reducing the higher number of social contacts this age group have than older groups. Thinking of you ❤️
21
138
21
306
Nice poster from Neil Mitchell AO from Melbourne
1
3
19
It's been just 1 incubation period since universal mask use, too soon to see its full impact but the speed of transmission has slowed. Melbourne it will improve ❤️ Look outside aged care facilities for change in community spread.
31
157
17
481
May Gibbs c. 1918/19 Australia; Flu Pandemic :)
OK regraphed NSW with today's data for yesterday. NSW reaching critical position & geographic spread makes it hard to find hotspot locations for ring-fencing/lockdown. Please follow public health rules & please mask up.
7
101
10
158
Updated Vic (red) corrected for duplicates etc. Looking hopeful. Melbourne we ❤️ you in your 😷 or face shield. Masks didn't need to be medical grade to reduce transmission in Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau, Sth Korea, Vietnam, Thailand 🤞
4
25
2
54