Vaccinations not enough. “vaccinations have been highly effective at reducing severe disease & deaths, they are much less effective at reducing the risk of getting long COVID following COVID infections. Most effective way to avoid getting long COVID is not to get COVID.(Fig 1)
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We knew long COVID was real over 12mths ago. Please read our submission to current Federal
Enquiry (link below) and see attached key findings (thank you Dominic Meagher @dom_ma)
Thank you esteemed colleagues for collaboration: @GraftonQuentin, Long Chu, @Tom_Kompas, and
@DanSuan2
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The day Aust reached total 1 million cases its instructive to review last 2 years. Cases/day & Deaths/day highest over first 11 days 2022. Outbreak management has failed - needs free RATs, RAT result-App, all boosters & kid doses ASAP & $ sick leave support.
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Boosters at 4mths (Jan 4),3mths (end Jan) should now be prioritised for those with 2 doses of AZ (after 4 months v.low protection against Omicron).
International positive cases now match when India ban was imposed. Travellers need booster & rapid antigen test on arrival to Aus
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Omicron is associated with high ability to evade immunity from previous infection doi.org/10.1101/2021.11.11.2… & potentially vaccine immunity. Israeli experience with Delta showed immunity waned at 4-6months. With risk from Omicron circulating we should boost around 4mths after dose 2
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First indicator of Vic peaking came yesterday. Same trend today & death rate lower than NSW. Well done Vic. Keep safe, stick to the rules & get vaccinated. Getting vaccinated lowers circulating virus which lowers cases and lowers death rates.
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"Can't live in lockdown forever" BUT DON'T SACRIFICE OUR YOUNG. Restrictions mustn't lift until young have vaccine access equity; they carry highest caseload yet lowest vaccination. Without vaccination, young will have highest caseload & therefore highest numbers in hospital.
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Herd immunity(HI) a big ask but we can do it. Countries targeting HI as % of total population= Israel 66%, Singapore 75%, NZ 78%, China 70-80%. We should target minimum 67% total pop, preferably 80% (for Delta). HI includes 12-18years & should target 100% vaccination of 60+years.
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