Professor of Epidemiology @UNSW with an eye on infection at all times. Advisor to @WHO Health Emergencies IPC Preparedness, Readiness and Response to COVID-19
Our colleague Kathy Dempsey was individually recognised in the @ACHSM leadership awards for her extraordinary contribution to NSW’s pandemic response. Congratulations Kathy we know you were a key part of the 125 new COVID-19 resources developed to keep staff & patients safe.
An honour to share a panel with brilliant minds & amazing speakers incl @DrOz@MarylouiseMcla1 Prof Petersen & Dr Neil Squires discussing Health Threats in times of hyper globalisation. Shared Malaysia’s journey & learning at both nat & regional in Mx COVID19 #TRTWorldForum2020
Graphs illustrating weekly tracking of Testing vs Pos results. Safety zone is when testing is high and positives low. Vic 😀, NSW improved 👌. QLD needs improving, SA 😟 ramp up testing. There's never a time to drop rate of testing, ever.
Outbreak speed is fast going up: VIC June 13, 14-day average 5; 8 weeks later, average 467. Speed going down is slower: 11 weeks to get average back to 5. Don’t waste 11 weeks effort; wait for test results.
Current 14-day case load is 5. Important not to rush decisions without results, tomorrow or Tuesday test results from contacts and their contacts will confirm whether cluster over 11 households has been contained. Vic you're so close to very safe level.
Post lockdown strategy: increase testing combined with forward & back contact tracing and isolation of every contact (because 14%-20% cases are asymptomatic, every case is infectious from day-3 post-exposure & some wont test positive first time)
"No one in the world should go to bed hungry. No one."
Today the @WFP were awarded the 2020 #NobelPeacePrize. Not long after the announcement was made we spoke to an excited and shocked David Beasley, the organisation's executive director.
#NobelPrize
Choose countries for home quarantining based on similar epidemiology and leadership for rapid response to cluster outbreaks. Testing rates per million if low may hide hi risk to our community (e.g.UK). UK, EU now in savage 2nd wave; USA numbers continue skyward
Vic average changes remains in the negative (ie good decline in numbers, left axis) but NSW is now back in positive (ie increase in numbers) similar to early July. Next week is critical in NSW to see if another surge is coming; wear 😷 & continue good public health practices
who.int/publications/i/item/… Transmission within children & staff is limited. Guideline for 12yrs+ made on dexterity & possible higher risk of COVID than 0-11yrs. Benefits must outweigh risks.
During SARS review I wrote of the concept of warning levels in pandemics/epidemics similar to those used for typhoons/bushfires and so easily understood by everyone. Some details for COVID: theage.com.au/national/victo…omny.fm/shows/mornings-with-…
😁Decline in ’change in 14-day totals’ in Vic & NSW says 2nd wave coming under control. Congrats Victoria ❤️.
14-day total traffic light I use: 'green' open border (less than 59 cases), amber 'wear a mask' (60-99), Red hotspots 'ring fence or curfew' (100+)
Such a no brainer It has quickly just become part of the routine in Melbourne now that it is mandatory. If I'd had the choice for compulsory masks a month earlier or level 4 rest'ns a month later I know what I'd picked. We don't have a rewind button but can learn from each other
Youth are leaders at the forefront of the #COVID19 crisis, pushing for equality, justice and dignity for all. On Int'l #YouthDay, uplift the voices and experiences of youth in action. unwo.men/24TT50AW2di
New WHO interim guidance on considerations for the provision of essential #OralHealth services in the context of #COVID19 - addresses the prioritization of urgent cases, screening of patients and measures to be taken in oral health services bit.ly/3fN4SmX